FanHouse

SEC Football Preview '07: Most Overrated

Overrated? The SEC? Never!

Calling a given player 'overrated' is a tricky thing. 'Overrated' does not imply good, nor does it imply bad. Overrated simply means, in our eyes, that too much hype/speculation/what have you surrounds the shimmering aura of this college football player. And we're going to put a stop to that nefarious practice by taking an objective look... right now. Here are the SEC's "Most Overrated" Players. A tough job, mind you, because this conference is filled with outstanding players.


1. Earl Bennett, Vanderbilt
I love Vanderbilt. I've been quoted as saying as much here at FanHouse for the past eon or so, and they're easily my second favorite team in the SEC after my beloved Gators. I don't love them because they win championships, or for that matter even that they win a few games. I love them because they're a fiercely competitive team that never gives up no matter how far down they may be, and because they give everyone they play a tough game despite Vandy's difficulty in landing premiere players.

So why would I tag WR Earl Bennett as an "overrated" player? In 2006 he had 1146 receiving yards and six TDs. That's a damn good year for an SEC player.

But I think he's overrated, which as the abstract above clearly explains, does not mean he's a marginal player. I think he's quite good, but not 1st-team All-SEC (which is where he was voted by SEC coaches in the pre-season.)

When you look at Bennett's production in 2006, the majority of his yards and TDs come via lesser teams. Against Tennessee State, Duke, Ole Miss, and Kentucky (all of which field horrendous defenses) he racked up 664 yards, over half of his year total, and 3 of his 6 TDs. Against Michigan, Alabama, and Arkansas, and Tennessee he only managed 150 combined yards and one TD.

Oddly enough, one of Bennett's better games was against the Gators in Nashville, where he racked up 157 yards and a TD. However, that yardage came primarily in the second half, when the Gator defense opened the umbrella while they tried to nurse a 25-6 lead in the 4th quarter. That doesn't disqualify Bennett's results, of course, but it's a heck of a lot easier to catch passes when you're going up against deep zone coverage. Good, but not great: Earl Bennett.
2. Jonathan Hefney, Tennessee
Hefney's a player who 'emerged' last year as a junior after languishing as somewhat of an anonymous DB in years prior. He had five INTs in 2006 and was also one of the leading tacklers for the Vols. The 5' 9" CB is another pre-season All-SEC player and has also been projected as a first-round draft pick by NFL Draft Scout.

So what's the beef? First of all, for a CB Hefney could stand to be a bit faster. He runs nearly a 4.5 forty-yard dash. Second, like Bennett, most of his production comes against lesser teams. 2 of his INTs came from Marshall and Memphis and a third comes from Vanderbilt.

Jonathan Hefney is a solid player, but I would be very surprised if he's drafted in the first round. I think he'll be strong for Tennessee in '06, but is not a first-team All-SEC'er.

3. Brandon Cox, Auburn
In the SEC, a quarterback is either on an upward trend or he's stagnating and getting worse. For the past two years I've failed to understand the hype about Brandon Cox. In 2005, his first year as a starter, he fared reasonably well, throwing for 2300 yards and completing 57.8% of his passes. He also threw 15 TDs and 8 INTs. But in 2006, due in part to injury, he managed fewer total yards, threw one less TD and one extra INT. His QB rating actually went up to 138 from 132, but that was primarily as a result of a higher YPA.

For once, SEC coaches agree with me because despite being one of only three senior quarterbacks in the conference, he did not earn any All-SEC honors.

Brandon Cox was sacked an ungodly 34 times in '06, up quite a bit from the 20 he suffered in 2005, but all too many of those sacks came as a result of holding onto the ball too long.

I believe Brandon Cox is a good quarterback; but the SEC is filled with those. To come out ahead in this conference, you'll need to bring a gold standard player to the position. To expect greatness out of Cox in '07 just doesn't seem reasonable given his past production. Look for another outstanding year from the Tigers, but Cox's presence under center isn't going to be a catalyst.

4. Matt Flynn, LSU
If you didn't know the name going in, and I told you that an SEC powerhouse was going to start a guy who went 12-20 for 133 total yards in '06 for 2 TDs and 1 INT, would you be excited about the next great quarterback to emerge in the SEC?

If you're an LSU fan, yes, you would, because you'd know it was none other than Matt Flynn, QB for the #2 ranked LSU Tigers.

Don't get me wrong. I like Flynn. I think he'll do a fine job and has all the potential to be a great quarterback. But Flynn's single claim to fame came from his play in relief of an injured Jamarcus Russell against Miami in the 2005 Peach Bowl -- that's looking back one hell of a long way in the rear-view mirror. He's good enough to make FanHouse's Top 5 SEC quarterbacks but he'll have to prove he's the real deal out on the field. Can he? Yes, but for now he's overrated.

5. Brandon Spikes, Florida
Spikes will attempt to replace the irreplaceable Brandon Siler from the '06 championship squad. As a reserve freshman LB in 2006 he ranked 13th in tackles, making 9 solo and 6 assisted. He did start one game for Florida: against the Div. I-AA (excuse me, FCS) Western Carolina Catamounts. You'd think he would have had a field day against the Ligers, but the Gators' defensive line cleaned up most of WCU's mess before he had a chance to make many tackles.

Spikes is a physical specimen. At 6' 4" and 235 lbs., his style of play and overall physicality remind me of Channing Crowder (who was notable because he liked to wrestle wild hogs to stay in shape.) But as of today, Spikes is largely untested and has not made a big impact in his limited playing action. Despite that, head coach Urban Meyer is looking to Spikes to be a leader on defense.

The jury is out on this one. As a Florida fan I have high expectations for Spikes. As a dispassionate AOL FanHouse SEC blogger, I say the expectations are currently set a bit higher than reality should allow. Therefore, he's overrated.

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