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The 2008 Free Agent Class Is Going to Cripple Teams for Years to Come

For once, I'm excited to be a Pirate fan. I know the Pirates can't afford any big name free agents this offseason and that's going to be a good thing this winter. Look at this free agent class. There's Alex Rodriguez and then there's everyone else. If A-Rod doesn't sign with the Yankees or Red Sox, there's a good chance that whoever signs him will have handcuffed themselves to mediocrity for a decade (like the Rangers did) or until whenever they can dump A-Rod back off on the Yankees.

Look at the next tier of free agents. Torii Hunter? Aaron Rowand? Teams are going to break the bank for these guys? Right now we're probably talking $80 million or more for Rowand and probably nine figures for Hunter. They're both nice players and all, but pardon me while I scoff at this insanity. Hunter's only slugged better than .500 twice and he's never had an OBP above .340. Rowand has managed two above average seasons at the plate in his four full years. Both are allegedly good defenders, but David Pinto places them both at the middle of the pack with his probabilistic model of range. Hunter is 31, Rowand is 30. Neither is on the upslope of their career. Whoever pays these guys is going to regret it in three years.

And the pitchers? If JC Romero is worth four million a year, what are Kyle Lohse and Carlos Silva (neither of whom are particularly good at baseball) worth? The top free agents get paid a ton of money even when they're only good in comparison to the rest of the free agency class. Free agency this year is going to hurt more people than it's going to help.
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