Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is doing everything in his power to set the all-time single-season passing touchdowns record, and he might get it Saturday night against the Giants. But it's important to note that even if he gets it, that doesn't make his 2007 season as impressive as the 2004 season of the current record holder, Peyton Manning. For starters, Manning didn't keep trying to pile up the stats once the Colts had things wrapped up in 2004: Manning sat out more fourth quarters than Brady, and he played just one series and threw two passes in the Colts' Week 17 game that year. And Aaron Schatz has this to say at Fox Sports:
let's compare Brady's 2007 season to Manning's 2004 season. Manning had 49 touchdowns with just 497 pass attempts. If we assume Brady plays next week like he has the last few games, he'll end up with something like 51 touchdowns in 570 pass attempts. Yes, that gives him more touchdowns, but it isn't as impressive when it takes him 73 more pass attempts to score them.Brady is having a great season, and he's done it in bad weather at times, which Manning didn't have to face. He's earned the MVP award he will certainly receive. But his 2007 season isn't quite up to the standard set by Manning's 2004 season.In addition, Brady has now dropped to 8.3 average yards per attempt. In his record-setting season, Manning averaged 9.2 yards per attempt. That's a huge difference.
Brady has been straining so hard to set records in conventional stats that his season now looks worse in the eyes of advanced stats.

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 5)
12-25-2007 @ 3:47PM
oldpatfan said...
It is amazing how people keep trying to diminish what the Pat's are doing. They're running up the score some weekends, then looking beatable the next (but, they remain undefeated). Spygate cheaters (8 plays at best, doing what every other team does). Coach doesn't shake hands without disrespecting opponent (stupid tradition anyway). Brady got someone pregnant (jeesh, only one. Wouldn't be noticed in NBA). Now this.
At least you metioned the weather issue. Mannning plays at least 50% of his games in a weather controlled environment. Brady was on pace to slaughter Mannings numbers until the miserable weather in Steeler's and Jet's games.
Plus, one could also argue Brady's numbers are better. Eight interceptions in 536 attempts ve Manning's 10 interceptions in 497 attempts. At least not throwing an interception puts your team in position to score via run or field goal.
And, speaking of scoring, the Pat's are 6 points away from beaking the single season scoring record. Putting points on the board helps your team win moreso than any other stat. So, keep your yard per attempt, and blah, blah, blah. Give me a QB which puts his team in position to score.
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12-25-2007 @ 3:55PM
bigflyer said...
Typical misplaced statistic maven from an average Colts fan who has lost sight of one vital stat.. The important thing to remember about the 2004 Superbowl is that the New England Patriots won it led by Tom Brady. The 2004 Colts, 12 wins, and 4 losses, lost in those playoffs to the same NE Patriots.
The overpaid Manning leads Brady in comercials and salary only. The stat that matters is number of Superbowls won.
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12-25-2007 @ 4:08PM
drysdale53 said...
its pretty obvious brady has been padding his stats in the fourth quarter when they are already up by 40 and also throwing from 2 yards away from the endzone on a first down. Why manning 90% of the time will just hand it off in that situation and will be pulled out of the game when they are up by 20 something points in the fourth. Manning also played the first drive of his last two games that season too. so im pretty sure brady will get the record and manning will congradulate him becuase he is a class act
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12-25-2007 @ 4:21PM
oldpatfan said...
Another myth. Brady pads his stats, while Manning played enough to give lead and then sat out. Colts 2004 scores: 49-14, 41-10, 41-9 (Manning threw TD with 3:16 to play), 51-24 (Manning threw TD with 2:06 to play). I wish some people would research before posting garbage.
But, Manning failed to show up in the big games in 04. Pat's and Brady beat them twice: 27-24 and 20-3.
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12-25-2007 @ 4:27PM
oldpatfan said...
Correction, those are scores based on time into 4th quarter.
But, as the final scores with an insurmountable lead, it represents stat padding as you've defined it.
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12-25-2007 @ 4:35PM
sdf said...
In 1966 at the height of the Vietnam War, when Ara Parseghian's Notre Dame team traveled to Michigan State, they were greeted with signs that read "Hail Mary, full of grace, Notre Dame's in second place." It was the famous "tie one for the Gipper game," in which Notre Dame fought back to tie the score and took possesion in the final minutes needing to gain only about 40-yards to be in position for a game-winning field goal, but Parseghian chose to run down the clock and go for the tie.
Of course, because football is a game of warfare by proxy, the allegorical implications of Parseghian's decision vis-a-vis the US strategy in the Vietnam War were lost on no one.
The Giants are in a position to spoil the Patriots' perfect season next week, and the question has been raised whether the Giants have an obligation to try and DEFEAT the Patriots, or can they just rest next week, since their payday is already assured.
My, my, my, the more things change, the more they remain the same. Another protracted war with no end in sight, but that's morally acceptable to our leaders as long as the profits keep rollin' in.
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12-25-2007 @ 4:35PM
drysdale53 said...
well im not arguing that the patriots had the overall better team when they won there superbowls every body knows that a good defense wins you championships, which the colts obviously didnt have.
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12-25-2007 @ 4:47PM
oldpatfan said...
Every week a new preteneder comes along. The Cowboys will beat the Pat's. The Colt's will do it. Steeler's got where they want them.
Let's get real. The Giants have no shot regardless of how they play the game. Eli is error prone.
Next the Jag fans will show up. Anohter pretender in a long line of them.
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12-25-2007 @ 5:10PM
drysdale53 said...
oldpatfan
each team in the NFL is full of amazing players and if they get fired up and play well together they can beat anybody, even the lowly dolphins can beat the patriots on any given day. is it unlikely yes but it could happen. so if i were you i wouldnt even listen to other people who would garruntee a win against your team and vice versa
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12-25-2007 @ 6:07PM
charles said...
brady breaks the rcord or not--hes no manning and never will be---if he did not have bellicheat--he would be nowhere near the record---manning with any coach would be where he is---a coach on the field---Records? manning will own them all
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12-25-2007 @ 7:16PM
1ncarnadine said...
There's no way Peyton's 2004 season is better. Just look at their win loss records, that says it all. Better yet, compare Superbowl victories and well known recievers to your stats. The Pats obtained 3 with outstanding recievers like Deion Branch? Plus pampered Peyton would never have gotten that record if he actually played in the elements. So retarded bias columnist...maybe you should think before spewing your crap all over the computer screen.
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12-25-2007 @ 8:47PM
huevonkiller said...
What do victories have to do with who had better stats? Victories are based off of defense, and if I remember correctly, the Colts had the 19th/20th scoring defense in 2004, which is why they lost four games. You people do know there is another side in football right? Hasn't Randy Moss also made Daunte Culpepper and Randall Cunningham look like mini Peytons?
Peyton does play in a dome, but if you use Adjusted yards per pass (which is a much better QB rating system; google it I suppose), Peyton had the better season very easily. I don't want to advertise any sites on here, but it is obvious who had the better year emprically.
It's been measured that on average an interception will cost one 45 yards of field position, and a touchdown +10 (because touchdowns are somewhat random and not all 40 yard passes end up being TDs, yet many 10/etc. yard passes do). Peyton's adjusted yard per pass was 9.25, Brady's is a little over 8.5 which is a huge difference.
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12-25-2007 @ 8:59PM
Rick Vogt said...
Just enjoy what your team is doing Patriot fans. Don't worry about what others say trying to belittle your team's acomplishments. Very few people outside of Boston like your coach or Randy Moss. People don't like the running up of the score and they don't like the spygate situation. You're not going to change that. Enjoy the era that you're in because it will end sometime and then you'll go through the down cycle that every team goes through. Then you'll get to find out who of your brotherhood is a real fan and who is a front runner. Isn't there something kinda cool about everybody hating you? Relax and enjoy it while it lasts.
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12-25-2007 @ 9:55PM
oldpatfan said...
Forget adjusted yards and all that crap. A QB's job is to put the team in a position to score. Brady has done that better than any other QB in a given season. Scores win the game. Not yard per attempt. Not yards per whatever. Not rating system. The team with the most points wins. I never heard of a team getting bonus points for "most yards per attempt" or "best QB rating". Points on the board. End of story.
Since everyone likes to say the Pat's running game is their weakness, I guess the fact the the offense is about to set a new single season scoring record makes Brady an even better QB. He doesn't have a back the quality of Edgerrin James (the 2004 version). So, the setting the record in TD's scored on a "one dimensional" offense (Critics word, not mine) makes Beady all the better.
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12-25-2007 @ 9:56PM
oldpatfan said...
yeah, yeah, Brady, I see it too.
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12-25-2007 @ 10:27PM
Ross said...
Where would Brady and the Pats be today without the extra help? Manning would have never had to endure the "can't win the big one" comments. Who knows if the Pats would have any rings, much less three?
I'm still waiting for Dungey, Cower, Gruden, and all the other coaches to come out and say eveybody cheats. For the media to say that everyone cheats is a slap in the face to those coaches who have accomplished less, honestly.
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12-25-2007 @ 10:34PM
oldpatfan said...
What extra help? Give documented specific games and details of the cheating.
C'mon. List as many as you can.
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12-25-2007 @ 10:41PM
Ross said...
Your right. The 2007 Jets game was the first game the Pats ever cheated in. Everyone knows that.
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12-25-2007 @ 10:41PM
oldpatfan said...
You threw it out there. Now answer it. Or, are you just another person talking in ignorance. What documented "help"?
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12-25-2007 @ 10:44PM
oldpatfan said...
What! Are e going on heresay and speculation. You already said it only counts when other coaches say it. So, give documented evidence, not speculation.
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