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What Goes Wrong With Duke in March?


When was the last time Duke played a really impressive game in the NCAA Tournament?

Certainly not in the last two years; the Blue Devils' last three Tournament games were a loss to West Virginia, a narrow win over Belmont and last year's first-round loss to Virginia Commonwealth. And even in the two years before that, when Duke got to the Sweet 16, they never looked particularly impressive doing it, beating up on fairly weak teams before losing to the first decent teams they played.

Frankly, even in 2004, when the Blue Devils got to the Final Four, they best team they beat in doing so was a decent but far from great Illinois team. Depending, of course, on how you define "really impressive," you could certainly say the Blue Devils haven't looked really impressive in the NCAA Tournament since they won it all in 2001.
So what's the problem? Here's what Dan Shanoff thinks:

Why is Duke a dud? Any other top program that was bounced two first weekends in a row would be labeled "chokers." Why not Duke?

I'm not saying Duke has to make the Final Four every year or even the Elite Eight (though that is the expectation their '08 seeding implied).

But after last year's first-round exit, not even cracking the Sweet 16 as a 2-seed this year (ranked in the Top 5 most of the year) indicates a systemic failure.

Coach K's program is now built for regular-season excellence, but with plenty of problems in March: No size, no speed. Two years running.

The no size, no speed sounds about right to me, and frankly, I'm surprised the Devils' lack of athleticism hasn't done more to diminish Duke's regular-season excellence.

Obviously, fans of almost every college in the country wish their basketball programs were as successful as Duke's has been in the seven years since their last unequivocally impressive NCAA Tournament win. But for a program as elite as Duke, it sure has been a long time since they've looked elite by the end of March.

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