
The Rotation is a weekly study on the NBA by one of our All-Star voices. In rotation this week is Matt Watson.
For 11 months of the year, I have no use for college basketball. I'll take the NBA over the amateurs every day of those 48 weeks. But come tournament time, I join millions of other casual fans in rooting for underdogs I couldn't place on a map. The NCAA tournament has transcended the sport and become ingrained in our culture, so much so that even non-fans and NBA elitists (*raises hand*) get swept up in the fun. Why can't people get this excited about my beloved NBA?
There's no comparison between the levels of play. (For a fan of the pros, the fact that most student athletes "turn pro in something other than sports" ought to be a dirty little secret, not a selling point -- I want the world's best athletes, not one or two guys with NBA potential surrounded by future accountants.)
But there are two ways I think the NBA could learn from the way March Madness draws in general fans.
1. Seed Everyone Together. I can't think of a single reason why an inferior team should ever be allowed into the playoffs when a better option exists.So first and foremost, the NBA needs to follow the NCAA's example here. In lieu of a selection committee, I endorse seeding teams 1-16 regardless of conference. (Last year's NBA Finals weren't technically over until the Spurs swept the Cavaliers, but I'm guessing they started mapping the parade the moment the Spurs dispatched the Jazz in the Western Conference Finals.)
Every time this idea gets brought up, someone brings up the fact that the NBA has an unbalanced schedule. If teams are going to be lumped into one giant bracket, they should all have the same schedule, right? A balanced schedule could be achieved by extending the regular season just five games, allowing each team to play every other team three times. (And as an added bonus, the odd number of head-to-head matchups would help with tie-breakers.)
Or, we could just leave it alone. The current system already relies on unbalanced schedules to decide playoff spots. Division rivals square off four times a year, but it's the schedule-maker's whim if teams in the same conference but different divisions square off three or four times in any given year. Plus, the NBA already grants the team with the better record home court advantage in the NBA Finals without regard to an unbalanced schedule -- there's no real reason why the same standard can't be applied to league-wide seeding. It's not completely ideal, but it's still better.
2. Start This Thing Off With a Big Bang. The NCAA tournament explodes onto so many channels at once. For those of us who take the day off work and sit in front of a TV for 12 hours, working the remote effectively is practically a sport of endurance and finesse unto itself. But all of the activity reinforces the idea that the start of the tournament is a singular event.The NBA eases into its playoffs with a couple of games a night, designed to give fans of the league a chance to sample everything. This marathon takes at least two rounds before catching any sort of momentum. With every game televised for a national audience in its entirety, each round can take weeks to complete.
I say schedule a full slate of games the first Friday and Saturday: eight games on both days with every team playing each day. Start things off in the afternoon and continue it through the night, with ABC, TNT and ESPN all televising games at the same time. Convince hardcore fans to plan their entire weekend around the event, or better yet, organize pilgrimages to Las Vegas.
Who's Going to Pay For This? I know that each of my suggestions are pointless if they can't be justified to the beancounters. For starters, it's highly likely that ABC, TNT, and ESPN would be loathe to simultaneously share playoff programming -- just as CBS would be loathe to see the NCAA sell off a bracket or two to its competitors.
Similarly, adding games to the regular season to balance out schedules would probably require across-the-board raises to every NBA contract to compensate for the extra games. And while they were complaining, I'm sure the players also wouldn't be crazy about the relentless travel this kind of schedule would necessitate.
But the payoff to all this could be monumental, and David Stern is a guy who is willing to make people unhappy now for the sake of the league's future. If the networks are unhappy now, they won't be when the NBA postseason becomes a worldwide holiday for fans. (You know that annual article about how many hours of productivity are wasted on the early rounds of March Madness? Imagine that on the scale of the NBA's global audience.)
Yes, cross-scheduling will inevitably result in viewer cannibalization. But the NCAA has demonstrated how that experience can simply drive devoted users online, where you can sell ads for them a second time. No, it's not TV money yet. But it is where the future of the league's fanbase lives.
Revisionist History
Here's how last year's playoffs would have been seeded in a 1-16 scheme, and my best guess at what would have happened:

I hear your objection: Last year's first-round meeting between the Warriors and Mavericks was simply epic -- Would I want to give that up? To which I have two answers:
1. I think the match-up would have happened anyway. See above. On the basis of their first-round momentum last year, I'm giving the Warriors the benefit of the doubt that they could have gotten past the Rockets.
Some might think it's a stretch that they'd get past Detroit in the second round, but bear in mind that the Warriors ran the Pistons out of the gym in two meetings last year. And if Chris Webber looked slow against the Cavs, can you imagine what he would've looked like on the floor with Golden State? (Well, actually that's not too hard ...)
2. This system would make these kind of first-round match-ups more likely, not less: The Warriors -- the best story of last year's playoffs -- were an 8-seed and could have easily missed out on the playoffs entirely. How many times have we missed the chance to see similar teams rise to the post-season occasion because they were on the wrong side of the country?

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
4-01-2008 @ 3:45PM
BMF said...
8 nba games on back to back days would be orgasmic. but it will never happen. stern is a total BK.
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4-01-2008 @ 4:16PM
Tom said...
Great stuff, Matt.
To avoid a barren First Sunday, you could go with 6 games Friday (12 teams), 6 games Saturday (the four teams who didn't play Friday, and eight teams who did), and a quadruple-header on Sunday (the eight teams who had only played one game thus far). By Monday morning, you'd have a million storylines as every series would already be 2-0 (with the threat of a sweep) or 1-1 (with a favorite getting knocked off).
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4-01-2008 @ 4:50PM
Mike said...
Doesn't the NCAA tourney seed inferior teams when a better option exists? I'm sure Arizona St. would've liked a crack at Coppin St. if it meant going to the big boys tourney.
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4-01-2008 @ 5:31PM
N said...
My roommate and I have anguished over the fact that the NBA doesn't do more to actively promote the best games to be televised throughout the regular season. I realize that this isn't as feasible as it is in the NFL to bump a game from 4:30 to 8:30 for primetime, but looking at the TNT schedule for this season, it seems like more of an effort could have been made to not only promote the stars, so we know who these guys are leading up to the playoffs, but emphasize these playoff races as we get closer to the postseason. Maybe the San Antonio-Chicago game on March 20th looked like a sweet (if dull) potential finals preview back in September, but you're telling me it wasn't possible to shuffle a few flights and tipoffs around in February so I could see Dallas-Boston instead? The post-All Star schedule seems like its been full of nights that had great games on that I just couldn't watch. 98% of fans don't care enough to order a package that will let them see the games most likely to reel in casual fans, so why not play the games that matter? My proposal: Start moving games around the middle of December. The first move this season should have been to yank every Chicago game off the primetime schedule in favor of any other team. Secondly, allow flexibility for a MAJOR reshuffle around the All-Star break, take all teams that have no reasonable chance at making the playoffs off, and highlight the playoff positioning with marketing for the last 1/3 of the season. I realize with more trips, shared arenas, and games potentially on all seven days this will never be as feasible as the NFL's flex scheduling option, but I find it hard to believe more can't be done to let a casual fan see the best games on each night, instead of being forced to sit through (actually, not even watch) Chicago or Miami get their tails kicked up and down the court for the umpteenth time this season.
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4-01-2008 @ 6:33PM
Brett said...
The NBA used to run four games a night in the first round, two on TNT and two on TBS. Obviously, they decided that they'd rather give every game it's own time in the spotlight instead of having games go head-to-head against each other. But like you said, we don't mind working the remote during March Madness, and I imagine we'd have no problem doing so for the playoffs. Seeding idea is fantastic too.
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4-01-2008 @ 8:12PM
Adam said...
Just a few responses to the points raised here:
1. Adding 5 games to the schedule probably wouldn't work. This produces an 87-game schedule. Odd-numbered schedules don't work; you can't play the same number at home and away. I think a better solution would be to add 4 games to the schedule, and eliminate the 4 opponents in your own Conference you play three times, instead of four. We could then eliminate the Divisions, and seed the teams 1-8 in each conference without arguing over how to seed division champions.
2. Seeding across Conferences, irrespective of the regular season scheduling method (whether current or revised) is not, in my opinion, a good move. Rivalries and interest are developed via playoff encounters. The Conference-based playoff tends to encourage teams to meet more often in the playoffs. Recall that the NBA is closer to a college *league* (like the Big Ten), and college *leagues*, in both the regular season and conference tournaments, have the best matchups when it is rivals playing each other (is there any doubt that Wisconsin-MSU was better than Wisconsin-Illinois?). The drama of the NCAA is that it is a "league of leagues."
3. I really like the idea of having a full day of games at the beginning of the NBA playoffs. I'd scale it back somewhat and have 4 games the first day, and 4 games the second day (instead of 8 both days), but I think it's a really intriguing idea. The problem is TV. I would bet that CBS loses money on the day games on Thursday and possibly on Friday too. They make it back because they have wall-to-wall coverage of the tournament and are everyone's "one stop shop" for games. If the day games were sold separately from the night games, either (a) nobody would buy them, or (b) they wouldn't sell for much. The only way to get this proposal going on a Friday would probably be to have one outlet televise the day of games, although even that might not be enough.
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4-01-2008 @ 11:43PM
Jason said...
Golden State in the Finals??!
Approve.
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4-01-2008 @ 11:47PM
Tom said...
I agree with most of the stuff here, except for your mock playoffs with GS in the finals. Come on. They wouldn't beat the Rockets or the Pistons or the Mavs that late in the plaffs.
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4-02-2008 @ 9:29PM
tobrien28 said...
Last time I checked only one channel broadcast the games this year, inferior teams did make the tourney (see Mount St. Mary's, Portland State, etc.)
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4-03-2008 @ 8:47AM
sal cunningham said...
March Madness?????? Every game is over by halftime with 20+ leads. No excitement there.
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4-03-2008 @ 11:05AM
jkrdevil said...
There is also complications in your start the playoffs with a bang idea. Arena availability. NCAA sites are selected years in advance. Also many NBA teams share their buildings with NHL teams (many of which are owned by the NHL team) who have their playoffs going on at the same time and start a bit earlier.
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